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POWER RATINGS AND FORECASTS (Trying to beat the bookie and retire since 2001) Power ratings are calculated after every match but I've used varying methods during the years (still trying to find the best possible way to do this because it is hard to measure the elements of humans and luck). Different values from a certain amount of matches affect my ratings (e.g. Shots on Target) and I calculate those values with a certain formula and the result is a power rating. The bigger the difference of two teams, then more probable is that the bigger rating team wins. The closer the ratings are, then more equal the teams will be (there's also my forecast of how the match should end according to ratings). After ratings are my approximate estimations of percentages and odds (it isn't exact science). Remember: if betting was an easy way to earn money there would be no betting shops. And never ever put your household money to betting because you should be prepared to lose the money you are betting. Muista: jos vedonlyönnillä ansaitseminen olisi helppoa, niin ei olisi firmoja, joissa lyödä vetoa. Ruokarahoja ei kannata missään nimessä iskeä vedonlyöntiin, vaan jokaisen vedon kohdalla pitää olla valmistautunut siihen, että menettää rahansa. Hopefully these ratings will help you someway to decide what bets you're going to make. PS. My main focus will be on English, French, German, Italian, Scottish and Spanish football leagues. If I have time I may calculate other leagues as well. H.A. "The Legless Scotsman" Hakonen |
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ENGLAND - Premier League ENGLAND – Championship ENGLAND - League One SATURDAY 12.10. Crawley 102 v 85 Shrewsbury 1.64-1.54 (61-65) | 4.76 (21) | 8.33-6.25 (12-16) Peterborough 99 v 111 Rotherham 3.57-3.12 (28-32) | 3.85 (26) | 2.50-2.27 (40-44) ENGLAND - League Two SATURDAY 12.10. Chesterfield 115 v 111 Notts County 2.27-2.08 (44-48) | 4.00 (25) | 4.00-3.45 (25-29) AFC Wimbledon 107 v 103 Carlisle 2.27-2.08 (44-48) | 4.00 (25) | 4.00-3.45 (25-29) Barrow 104 v 95 Morecambe 1.96-1.81 (51-55) | 4.00 (25) | 5.55-4.55 (18-22) Cheltenham 90 v 100 Swindon 3.45-3.03 (29-33) | 3.85 (26) | 2.45-2.32 (39-43) Doncaster 109 v 96 Crewe 1.75-1.64 (57-61) | 4.34 (23) | 7.15-5.55 (14-18) Gillingham 100 v 98 Accrington 2.45-2.32 (39-43) | 3.85 (26) | 3.57-3.12 (28-32) Harrogate 92 v 81 Newport 1.85-1.72 (54-58) | 4.16 (24) | 6.25-5.00 (16-20) MK Dons 110 v 104 Port Vale 2.08-1.92 (48-52) | 4.00 (25) | 4.76-4.00 (21-25) Salford 94 v 95 Grimsby 2.70-2.44 (37-41) | 3.85 (26) | 3.33-2.95 (30-34) Tranmere 104 v 103 Bradford 2.50-2.27 (40-44) | 3.85 (26) | 3.70-3.23 (27-31) ENGLAND - Super League SATURDAY 12.10. Arsenal 127 v 126 Chelsea 2.50-2.27 (40-44) | 3.85 (26) | 3.70-3.23 (27-31) SUNDAY 13.10. Manchester Utd 112 v 107 Tottenham 2.12-1.96 (47-51) | 4.00 (25) | 4.55-3.84 (22-26) Aston Villa 120 v 77 Leicester 1.22-1.16 (82-86) | 9.09 (11) | 25.00-14.50 (4-7) Crystal Palace 73 v 94 Brighton 4.16-3.57 (24-28) | 3.85 (26) | 2.22-2.04 (45-49) Everton 77 v 72 West Ham 2.12-1.96 (47-51) | 4.00 (25) | 4.55-3.84 (22-26) Liverpool 108 v 126 Manchester City 4.00-3.45 (25-29) | 3.85 (26) | 2.27-2.08 (44-48) FINLAND - SM-Liiga (60 minutes, home & away % only, draws usually: 16% (6.00) <-> 22% (4.50) FRIDAY 11.10. Ilves 108 v 114 Kärpät 32%-36% (3.13-2.78) / 34%-39% (2.95-2.56) Jukurit 93 v 98 HIFK 34%-39% (2.95-2.56) / 33%-38% (3.03-2.63) KalPa 103 v 85 JYP 69%-74% (1.45-1.35) / 10%-15% (10.00-6.66) Lukko 115 v 93 HPK 75%-80% (1.34-1.25) / 8%-13% (12.50-7.69) Sport 99 v 94 SaiPa 52%-57% (1.92-1.75) / 26%-31% (3.85-3.23) TPS 114 v 107 KooKoo 55%-60% (1.82-1.67) / 22%-27% (4.55-3.70) Kiekko-Espoo 100 v 116 Tappara 17%-22% (5.89-3.70) / 52%-57% (1.92-1.75) FRANCE - Ligue 1 FRANCE - Premiere Ligue FRIDAY 11.10. Le Havre 78 v 83 St. Etienne 2.95-2.63 (34-38) | 3.85 (26) | 2.95-2.63 (34-38) SATURDAY 12.10. Dijon 134 v 175 Lyon 8.33-6.25 (12-16) | 4.55 (22) | 1.61-1.51 (62-66) Fleury 82 v 52 Guingamp 1.40-1.33 (71-75) | 6.25 (16) | 14.50-9.09 (7-11) Montpellier 68 v 77 Strasbourg 3.33-2.95 (30-34) | 3.85 (26) | 2.63-2.38 (38-42) Paris 140 v 92 Reims 1.16-1.10 (86-90)| 12.50 (8) | 33.00-20.00 (3-5) Nantes 113 v 131 PSG 4.00-3.45 (25-29) | 3.85 (26) | 2.27-2.08 (44-48) GERMANY - Bundesliga GERMANY - Frauen Bundesliga FRIDAY 11.10. Potsdam 61 v 91 Essen 5.55-4.55 (18-22) | 3.85 (26) | 1.96-1.81 (51-55) SATURDAY 12.10. Werder Bremen 101 v 98 Leverkusen 2.32-2.12 (43-47) | 4.00 (25) | 3.84-3.33 (26-30) Wolfsburg 140 v 127 Bayern München 1.75-1.64 (57-61) | 4.34 (23) | 7.15-5.55 (14-18) SUNDAY 13.10. Köln 108 v 98 Hoffenheim 1.92-1.80 (52-56) | 4.16 (24) | 5.89-4.76 (17-21) RB Leipzig 89 v 69 Jena 1.54-1.45 (65-69) | 5.25 (19) | 10.00-7.15 (10-14) MONDAY 14.10. Frankfurt 134 v 104 Freiburg 1.40-1.33 (71-75) | 6.25 (16) | 14.50-9.09 (7-11) ITALY - Serie A (Male) ITALY - Serie A (Female) SATURDAY 12.10. Sassuolo 94 v 101 Fiorentina 3.12-2.78 (32-36) | 3.85 (26) | 2.78-2.50 (36-40) Como 101 v 120 Inter 4.00-3.45 (25-29) | 3.85 (26) | 2.27-2.08 (44-48) SUNDAY 13.10. Milan 112 v 78 Sampdoria 1.35-1.28 (74-78) | 7.14 (14) | 16.66-10.00 (6-10) Juventus 114 v 117 Roma 2.85-2.56 (35-39) | 3.85 (26) | 3.03-2.70 (33-37) Lazio 116 v 62 Napoli 1.13-1.08 (88-92) | 16.66 (6) | 50.00-25.00 (2-4) SCOTLAND - Premiership SPAIN - La Liga SPAIN - Liga F SATURDAY 12.10. Real Sociedad 102 v 82 Betis 1.54-1.45 (65-69) | 5.25 (19) | 10.00-7.15 (10-14) Tenerife 91 v 100 Levante 3.33-2.95 (30-34) | 3.85 (26) | 2.63-2.38 (38-42) La Coruna 72 v 96 Madrid 4.55-3.84 (22-26) | 3.85 (26) | 2.12-1.96 (47-51) SUNDAY 13.10. Eibar 78 v 94 Athl. Bilbao 3.84-3.33 (26-30) | 3.85 (26) | 2.32-2.12 (43-47) Valencia 79 v 88 Granada 3.33-2.95 (30-34) | 3.85 (26) | 2.63-2.38 (38-42) Sevilla 81 v 111 Badalona 5.55-4.55 (18-22) | 3.85 (26) | 1.96-1.81 (51-55) Barcelona 184 v 94 Espanyol 1.13-1.08 (88-92) | 16.66 (6) | 50.00-25.00 (2-4) Real Madrid 149 v 124 Atl. Madrid 1.47-1.38 (68-72) | 5.55 (18) | 12.50-8.33 (8-12) |